November 4, 2008 
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44th President of the United States of America

Day of Reckoning 2: Why John McCain Will (Probably) Lose (Tonight)

November 4, 2008 
Category: Analyses & Opinions | Leave a Comment

Two nights ago, I had addressed the potential for Barack Obama to lose this presidential contest. I had argued that, while the polls and all political indicators, so far, have been pointing to an Obama victory, the number of uncertainties that are part and parcel of this election cycle should not be entirely overlooked. Among the uncertainties that could lead to a surprise McCain victory (racism and mistrust of white Americans towards Obama, Bradley effect, voter complacency and overconfidence, effect of John McCain’s negative attacks, last-minute surge towards John McCain by the undecided, erroneous poll predictions, acts of God, etc.), I zoomed at, perhaps, the only single weakness that one could attribute to the Obma campaign: naïveté, and perhaps, an implicit dose of complacency, especially as they relate to the Obama belief that being positive all the way was going to win this election for him. Read more

Day of Reckoning 1: Why Obama Could Still Lose

November 2, 2008 
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Obama could still lose this election, and if he does, it will be because of one single fact: naïveté. It seems that, contrary to what many have said this time around, Obama fell prey to the same type of complacency that has compromised Democratic candidates in the past two presidential elections. Both Gore, in 2000, and Kerry, in 2004, lost because of an incredible naïveté that assumed that the American electorate was fundamentally intelligent, and that it could sort out, for itself, the lies from the facts, and therefore carry the Democrats to victory without them needing to go negative and push harder in order to try and ensure victory beyond all doubt. In both cases, they were DEAD WRONG, and THEY LOST. Read more

Of Sex, Libido and the $150,000 Clothing Spree: Notes on the Incredible Arousal of Sarah Palin

October 24, 2008 
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Could Sarah Palin have been hiding a repressed libido? The many faces and transformations of Sarah Palin since joining the McCain presidential ticket are shockingly telling. Those changing faces have fascinated me so much (and perhaps you too?) that I have decided to conduct a small and very brief psychoanalysis of Sarah Palin’s awakening libidinal impulses in the context of her $150,000 clothing spree.

Let me begin with what I called “the incredible arousal of Sarah Palin” in the title of this article. And I want to be as purposefully ambiguous and cowardly as possible, hence my decision to hide my duplicity and duplicitous thoughts behind the many meanings of the word “arousal,” which, indeed, can mean “stimulation,” “awakening,” “excitement”, among many other meanings and insinuations which I prefer not to list here. Read more

Of John McCain and His America: It Is Apocalypse Now

October 17, 2008 
Category: Analyses & Opinions | 1 Comment

It all began with the “Barack-Obama-is-an-Arab” lady at a McCain town hall meeting in Lakeville, Minnesota last week. Responding to what she naturally thought had become the official, cathartic McCain/Palin electoral mantra, the woman, a certain Gayle Quinnell, stated that she did not trust Barack Obama because Barack Obama, she had read (in some McCain/Palin literature), was an Arab.

To which John McCain, in a telling “reap what you sow” moment, responded:

“No, ma’am. He’s a decent family man, citizen that I just happen to have disagreements with on fundamental issues, and that’s what this campaign is all about.”

What’s troubling in McCain’s answer are a number of dangerous innuendoes which are not immediately apparent to most people, but which are striking to those with enough intellectual sense (Am I being elitist here? Well, hell).

McCain’s answer suffers from a fundamental flaw which, as I said, is not immediately apparent to most people, until, of course, one realizes that McCain did not defend Obama on the grounds that Obama was, indeed, as American as John McCain and Gayle Quinnell themselves were.  Rather, he “defended” Obama on the more tenuous ground that his opponent was a “decent” family man and “a citizen.” Read more

Watch: What if John McCain wanted to lose?

October 16, 2008 
Category: Analyses & Opinions | 3 Comments

An October 14 article by Sam Stein on the Huffington Post this week got me thinking. As I read it more and more, one interesting idea came to me: “What if John McCain actually wanted to lose?”

The gist of Sam Stein’s article is summarized in the first four paragraphs of the article as so:

Matthew Dowd, a prominent political consultant and chief strategist for George W. Bush’s reelection campaign eviscerated John McCain on Tuesday for his choice of Sarah Palin as vice president.

Dowd proclaimed that, in his heart of hearts, McCain knew he put the country at risk with his VP choice and that he would “have to live” with that fact for the rest of his career.

“They didn’t let John McCain pick the person he wanted to pick as VP,” Dowd declared during the Time Warner Summit panel. “When Sarah Palin got picked instead of Joe Lieberman, which I fundamentally believed would have given John McCain the best opportunity in this race… as soon as he picked Palin, that whole ready versus not ready argument was not credible.”

Saying that Palin was a “net negative” on the ticket, he went on: “[McCain] knows, in his gut, that he put somebody unqualified on the ballot. He knows that in his gut, and when this race is over that is something he will have to live with… He put somebody unqualified on that ballot and he put the country at risk, he knows that.” Read more

Obama Won Third Debate, But Failed (or Chose Not?) to Go for the Jugular

October 16, 2008 
Category: Keys to Victory | 1 Comment

While all post-debate snap polls and focus group surveys taken right after the Wednesday night debate gave Barack Obama an overwhelming win over his presidential rival John McCain (in my opinion more on style than sheer will to win and force the issue), there are a few areas of the debate in which the Democratic candidate could have crushed John McCain, but failed to do so. I saw three great openings which Barack Obama failed to take advantage of during the debate. Here are some of the few answers or retorts that Obama could have used to crush John McCain once and for all: Read more

Here Comes The McCain/Palin Kitchen Sink: Obama Must Duck, This Way.

October 5, 2008 
Category: Keys to Victory, The Situation Room | Comments Off

Here we go again, with McCain planning a last-ditch effort, a sort of 29-day kitchen-sink blitz, aimed at unseating Barack Obama before the crucial November 4 vote. Various news reports, including the McCain campaign itself on various talk shows this Sunday, have all pointed to a new kitchen-sink strategy aimed at emphasizing Barack Obama’s past associations (Ayers, Wright, Rezko, etc.) with a view to questioning both his judgment and patriotism. Read more

The Eight Things that Will Win (or Lose) This Election for Barack Obama

September 16, 2008 
Category: Keys to Victory | Comments Off

Surprise! John McCain is surging in the polls, and pundits as well as stunned Obama supporters such as myself are asking themselves how and why. Yet, a cold critical look at how this thing has been going since Obama clinched the Democratic nomination from the hands of Hillary Clinton in June can help to explain the hows and the whys of the McCain surge. These explanations have more to do with what the Obama campaign failed to do as opposed to what John McCain actually did. A number of mistakes are now apparent in the Obama campaign strategy which are threatening to lose him an election that was his to win… or lose.

In a context that was highly favorable to an easy Democratic victory in November, Barack Obama seems to be struggling. While many factors, such as race, could indeed contribute to this unexpected struggle, I believe that the negative impact of race on the perception of Barack Obama by white America cannot, alone, account for what is happening to the Obama campaign. If anything, I would argue that the answers to Obama’s inability to close the deal against John McCain come from mistakes committed in the very strategic choices made by the Obama campaign itself. Among these mistakes, one notes the following eight things: Read more

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